RuinRisk

About

[Overview] RuinRisk is a risk analysis app that helps visualize the “Probability of Ruin” in investing and trading. With simple slider controls, users can easily perform risk evaluations without needing to understand complex calculations. [Key Features] ■ Intuitive Probability of Ruin Simulation Adjust parameters such as risk per trade, payoff ratio, and win rate to calculate the probability of ruin in real time. Even without advanced mathematical knowledge, users can instantly understand the level of trading risk. ■ Heatmap-Based Risk Visualization Display the distribution of probability of ruin using heatmaps based on the selected parameters. This allows users to visually compare the risk balance of different strategies. ■ Practical Risk Analysis (Pro Mode) Pro Mode provides access to more advanced analysis features. • Risk analysis using Monte Carlo simulations • Maximum expected drawdown estimation • Drawdown probability analysis • Insight-based risk evaluation summaries These features provide more realistic risk assessments beyond simple theoretical values. ■ Calculation Methodology The probability of ruin calculations in this app are based on mathematical models derived from money management and risk management principles. Parameters such as win rate, payoff ratio, and risk per trade are used to evaluate long-term capital risk. In Pro Mode, Monte Carlo simulations generate a large number of randomized trading scenarios to analyze more realistic drawdowns and risk distributions. [What You Can Do] • Check trading risk before entering positions • Compare and evaluate trading strategies • Improve money management practices • Make decisions based on data rather than intuition [Target Users] • Individual investors • Traders (stocks, futures, forex, etc.) • Anyone focused on risk management [Display Modes] ■ Legacy Mode • Basic probability of ruin simulation • Heatmap visualization ■ Pro Mode • Monte Carlo analysis • Maximum drawdown projections • Probability-based risk evaluation • Advanced insight features [Strengths] RuinRisk combines simplicity and practical analysis in a single app. It is designed to be accessible for beginners while still providing meaningful risk evaluation tools for experienced traders. [Disclaimer] • All investments involve risk and should be made at your own discretion. • This app is intended for informational purposes only and does not provide financial advice. • The calculated probability of ruin does not guarantee future results or protection from losses. • While every effort has been made to ensure accuracy, the completeness and reliability of the results are not guaranteed. • We are not responsible for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this app. • This app does not provide or facilitate financial transactions.